Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001411 0.001502 0.001595 0.001700 0.001812 0.001929 0.002062
2024-10-20 0.001261 0.001383 0.001514 0.001664 0.001832 0.002015 0.002230
2024-10-27 0.001168 0.001312 0.001471 0.001658 0.001874 0.002118 0.002412
2024-11-03 0.001065 0.001219 0.001392 0.001602 0.001851 0.002138 0.002496
2024-11-10 0.001018 0.001186 0.001378 0.001617 0.001906 0.002247 0.002684
2024-11-17 0.000963 0.001138 0.001343 0.001601 0.001921 0.002307 0.002813
2024-11-24 0.000930 0.001115 0.001334 0.001616 0.001971 0.002409 0.002996
2024-12-01 0.000880 0.001067 0.001293 0.001587 0.001965 0.002439 0.003086
2024-12-08 0.000842 0.001032 0.001265 0.001573 0.001974 0.002486 0.003199
2024-12-15 0.000808 0.001002 0.001241 0.001562 0.001986 0.002536 0.003316
2024-12-22 0.000783 0.000979 0.001226 0.001561 0.002011 0.002603 0.003457
2024-12-29 0.000753 0.000951 0.001202 0.001547 0.002016 0.002643 0.003562
2025-01-05 0.000727 0.000929 0.001187 0.001547 0.002045 0.002722 0.003734
2025-01-12 0.000691 0.000891 0.001150 0.001516 0.002030 0.002739 0.003818
2025-01-19 0.000668 0.000869 0.001133 0.001511 0.002050 0.002806 0.003979
2025-01-26 0.000629 0.000825 0.001085 0.001462 0.002004 0.002776 0.003991
2025-02-02 0.000615 0.000815 0.001082 0.001475 0.002048 0.002877 0.004207
2025-02-09 0.000594 0.000792 0.001062 0.001461 0.002052 0.002920 0.004333
2025-02-16 0.000582 0.000784 0.001060 0.001474 0.002096 0.003022 0.004559
2025-02-23 0.000559 0.000758 0.001032 0.001448 0.002081 0.003034 0.004639
2025-03-02 0.000541 0.000738 0.001014 0.001435 0.002083 0.003072 0.004764
2025-03-09 0.000525 0.000721 0.000998 0.001425 0.002089 0.003117 0.004901
2025-03-16 0.000512 0.000709 0.000989 0.001425 0.002110 0.003185 0.005080